Gio Lopez
WAKE@CAL
LEAN
Sat 10:30 PM ETPassing TDs 1.5
FD
1.60
-166
flat32 pulls
OVER
1.5
UNDER
1.5
64%
win
+5.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
67%
4/6
L20
67%
4/6
SZN
67%
4/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
CFB · 10:30 PM ET
Wake Forest @ California
Cards
27
Top Alpha Score
69
PRESS
0
Sharp source
Model
Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| WAKE | 78% | 1.29 |
| CAL | 23% | 4.44 |
Total points · market line 53.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.5 | 63% | 1.60 | 38% | 2.67 |
| 51.5 | 56% | 1.79 | 44% | 2.27 |
| 52.5 | 53% | 1.89 | 47% | 2.13 |
| 53.5 | 51% | 1.98 | 50% | 2.02 |
| 54.5 | 47% | 2.13 | 53% | 1.89 |
| 55.5 | 44% | 2.27 | 56% | 1.79 |
| 56.5 | 43% | 2.35 | 57% | 1.74 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE | 1.5 | 75% | 1.34 |
| WAKE | 2.5 | 73% | 1.37 |
| WAKE | 3.5 | 68% | 1.47 |
| WAKE | 4.5 | 66% | 1.53 |
| CAL | 1.5 | 22% | 4.55 |
| CAL | 2.5 | 21% | 4.88 |
| CAL | 3.5 | 17% | 5.88 |
| CAL | 4.5 | 15% | 6.67 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints
74% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.35: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 39.5 and under 75.5.
Passing TDs
Anytime TD
Gio Lopez
WAKE@CAL
WATCH
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
1.41
-245
-5c32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
65%
win
+5.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Deuce Lawrence
WAKE@CAL
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
1.74
-135
flat32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
43%
win
-3.6pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Ty Clark III
WAKE@CAL
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
1.74
-135
flat32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
42%
win
-5.0pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
33%
2/6
L20
33%
2/6
SZN
33%
2/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Show 19 more Anytime TDShow fewer
Carlos Hernandez
WAKE@CAL
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.00
+100
-5c32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
41%
win
-3.6pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
67%
4/6
L20
67%
4/6
SZN
67%
4/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Ashten Emory
CALvsWAKE
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.00
+100
flat32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
47%
win
+5.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Adam Mohammed
CALvsWAKE
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.25
+125
flat32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
42%
win
+5.0pp
L5
50%
2/4
L10
50%
2/4
L20
50%
2/4
SZN
50%
2/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Chase Hendricks
CALvsWAKE
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.35
+135
+5c32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
30%
win
-5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
33%
2/6
L20
33%
2/6
SZN
33%
2/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Ian Strong
CALvsWAKE
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.65
+165
-5c32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
27%
win
-5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
17%
1/6
L20
17%
1/6
SZN
17%
1/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Jack Foley
WAKE@CAL
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
3.45
+245
flat32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
36%
win
+5.0pp
L5
100%
3/3
L10
100%
3/3
L20
100%
3/3
SZN
100%
3/3
H2H
-
ACC
-
Mason Mini
CALvsWAKE
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
3.65
+265
-5c32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
22%
win
-2.3pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
1/5
L20
20%
1/5
SZN
20%
1/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Kam Shanks
WAKE@CAL
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.20
+320
-10cFade32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
15%
win
-5.0pp
L5
25%
1/4
L10
25%
1/4
L20
25%
1/4
SZN
25%
1/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Jamar Searcy
WAKE@CAL
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.60
+360
+10cSteam32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
17%
win
-5.0pp
L5
25%
1/4
L10
25%
1/4
L20
25%
1/4
SZN
25%
1/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Antonio Meeks
WAKE@CAL
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.80
+380
+10cSteam32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
14%
win
-4.2pp
L5
25%
1/4
L10
25%
1/4
L20
25%
1/4
SZN
25%
1/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Anthony League
CALvsWAKE
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
5.00
+400
flat32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
13%
win
-3.4pp
L5
0%
0/3
L10
0%
0/3
L20
0%
0/3
SZN
0%
0/3
H2H
-
ACC
-
Cooper Perry
CALvsWAKE
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
5.25
+425
flat32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
21%
win
+5.0pp
L5
25%
1/4
L10
25%
1/4
L20
25%
1/4
SZN
25%
1/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Jordan King
CALvsWAKE
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
5.50
+450
-25cFade32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
14%
win
-1.5pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
1/5
L20
20%
1/5
SZN
20%
1/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Kyion Grayes
CALvsWAKE
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
5.25
+425
+25cSteam32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
13%
win
-4.0pp
L5
25%
1/4
L10
25%
1/4
L20
25%
1/4
SZN
25%
1/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Drayden Dickmann
WAKE@CAL
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
6.00
+500
-25cFade32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
9%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/6
L20
0%
0/6
SZN
0%
0/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Taimane Purcell
CALvsWAKE
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
6.50
+550
flat32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
18%
win
+5.0pp
L5
25%
1/4
L10
25%
1/4
L20
25%
1/4
SZN
25%
1/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Kamrean Johnson
WAKE@CAL
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
7.50
+650
flat32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
12%
win
+1.1pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
1/5
L20
20%
1/5
SZN
20%
1/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Jackson Brousseau
CALvsWAKE
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
8.00
+700
flat32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
5%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/4
L20
0%
0/4
SZN
0%
0/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Will Loerzel
WAKE@CAL
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
7.50
+650
+50cSteam32 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
16%
win
+5.0pp
L5
33%
1/3
L10
33%
1/3
L20
33%
1/3
SZN
33%
1/3
H2H
-
ACC
-
Passing Yards
Rushing Yards
Ty Clark III
WAKE@CAL
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETRushing Yards 48.5
FD
1.85
-118
+4c +2 lineSteam32 pulls
OVER
48.5
UNDER
48.5
56%
win
+5.0pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
67%
4/6
L20
67%
4/6
SZN
67%
4/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Deuce Lawrence
WAKE@CAL
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETRushing Yards 38.5
FD
1.88
-114
flat32 pulls
OVER
38.5
UNDER
38.5
55%
win
+5.0pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
83%
5/6
L20
83%
5/6
SZN
83%
5/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Gio Lopez
WAKE@CAL
PASS
Sat 10:30 PM ETRushing Yards 26.5
FD
1.88
-114
flat32 pulls
OVER
26.5
UNDER
26.5
55%
win
+5.0pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
ACC
-