Lincoln Kienholz
LOU@SYR
WATCH
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
1.32
-310
-10cFade25 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
71%
win
+5.0pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
83%
5/6
L20
83%
5/6
SZN
83%
5/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
CFB · 7:30 PM ET
Louisville @ Syracuse
Cards
20
Top Alpha Score
52
PRESS
0
Sharp source
Model
Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| LOU | 85% | 1.18 |
| SYR | 16% | 6.45 |
Total points · market line 55.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.5 | 66% | 1.53 | 35% | 2.90 |
| 53.5 | 57% | 1.74 | 43% | 2.35 |
| 54.5 | 56% | 1.80 | 44% | 2.25 |
| 55.5 | 52% | 1.94 | 49% | 2.06 |
| 56.5 | 49% | 2.06 | 52% | 1.94 |
| 57.5 | 48% | 2.11 | 53% | 1.90 |
| 58.5 | 45% | 2.25 | 55% | 1.80 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOU | 1.5 | 83% | 1.20 |
| LOU | 2.5 | 81% | 1.23 |
| LOU | 3.5 | 78% | 1.29 |
| LOU | 4.5 | 76% | 1.32 |
| SYR | 1.5 | 14% | 7.14 |
| SYR | 2.5 | 13% | 7.69 |
| SYR | 3.5 | 10% | 10.00 |
| SYR | 4.5 | 9% | 11.11 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints
74% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.35: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 41.5 and under 77.5.
Anytime TD
Isaac Brown
LOU@SYR
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
1.34
-290
-5c25 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
61%
win
-5.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Keyjuan Brown
LOU@SYR
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
1.35
-285
+10cSteam25 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
52%
win
-5.0pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
2/5
L20
40%
2/5
SZN
40%
2/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Show 14 more Anytime TDShow fewer
Umari Hatcher
SYRvsLOU
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.05
+105
flat25 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
46%
win
+5.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
3/5
L20
60%
3/5
SZN
60%
3/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Tylik Hill
SYRvsLOU
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
2.05
+105
-5c25 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
40%
win
-5.0pp
L5
25%
1/4
L10
25%
1/4
L20
25%
1/4
SZN
25%
1/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Marquise Davis
LOU@SYR
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.85
+185
-5c25 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
36%
win
+5.0pp
L5
67%
2/3
L10
67%
2/3
L20
67%
2/3
SZN
67%
2/3
H2H
-
ACC
-
Lawayne McCoy
LOU@SYR
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
2.70
+170
-5c25 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
37%
win
+5.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
67%
4/6
L20
67%
4/6
SZN
67%
4/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Tre Richardson
LOU@SYR
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
2.65
+165
-5c25 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
35%
win
+1.4pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
33%
2/6
L20
33%
2/6
SZN
33%
2/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
TreyShun Hurry
LOU@SYR
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
3.50
+250
-5c25 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
22%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/6
L20
0%
0/6
SZN
0%
0/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Jaleel Skinner
LOU@SYR
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
3.50
+250
-5c25 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
29%
win
+4.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Daunte Bacheyie
SYRvsLOU
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.60
+360
flat25 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
25%
win
+5.0pp
L5
100%
4/4
L10
100%
4/4
L20
100%
4/4
SZN
100%
4/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Justus Ross-Simmons
SYRvsLOU
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
7.00
+600
-50cFade25 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
18%
win
+2.0pp
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/4
L20
0%
0/4
SZN
0%
0/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Ahmad Miller
SYRvsLOU
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
5.40
+440
-10cFade25 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
22%
win
+5.0pp
L5
50%
2/4
L10
50%
2/4
L20
50%
2/4
SZN
50%
2/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Darius Johnson
SYRvsLOU
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
6.50
+550
-50cFade25 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
8%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/4
L20
0%
0/4
SZN
0%
0/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
David Clement
SYRvsLOU
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
11.00
+1000
flat25 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
7%
win
-2.2pp
L5
25%
1/4
L10
25%
1/4
L20
25%
1/4
SZN
25%
1/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Shavane Anderson Jr.
SYRvsLOU
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.90
+390
flat25 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
26%
win
+5.0pp
L5
33%
1/3
L10
33%
1/3
L20
33%
1/3
SZN
33%
1/3
H2H
-
ACC
-
Noah Meyers
SYRvsLOU
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
11.00
+1000
+100cSteam25 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
13%
win
+5.0pp
L5
25%
1/4
L10
25%
1/4
L20
25%
1/4
SZN
25%
1/4
H2H
-
ACC
-