Micah Ford
STANvsELON
WATCH
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
1.10
-1000
-100cFade23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
71%
win
-5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
33%
2/6
L20
33%
2/6
SZN
33%
2/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
CFB · 7:30 PM ET
Elon @ Stanford
Cards
9
Top Alpha Score
52
PRESS
0
Sharp source
Model
Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| ELON | 3% | 40.00 |
| STAN | 98% | 1.03 |
Total points · market line 55.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.5 | 59% | 1.71 | 42% | 2.41 |
| 53.5 | 57% | 1.74 | 43% | 2.35 |
| 54.5 | 56% | 1.80 | 44% | 2.25 |
| 55.5 | 52% | 1.94 | 49% | 2.06 |
| 56.5 | 49% | 2.06 | 52% | 1.94 |
| 57.5 | 47% | 2.15 | 54% | 1.87 |
| 60.5 | 39% | 2.60 | 62% | 1.63 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| STAN | 11.5 | 94% | 1.06 |
| STAN | 13.5 | 93% | 1.08 |
| STAN | 14.5 | 93% | 1.08 |
| STAN | 16.5 | 91% | 1.10 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints
74% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.36: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 42.5 and under 75.5.
Anytime TD
Benji Blackburn
STANvsELON
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
1.95
-105
-5c23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
38%
win
-5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
17%
1/6
L20
17%
1/6
SZN
17%
1/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Caden High
STANvsELON
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
2.00
+100
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
39%
win
-2.3pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
2/5
L20
40%
2/5
SZN
40%
2/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Show 6 more Anytime TDShow fewer
Nico Brown
STANvsELON
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
2.05
+105
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
36%
win
-5.0pp
L5
25%
1/4
L10
25%
1/4
L20
25%
1/4
SZN
25%
1/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Jordan Onovughe
STANvsELON
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
2.30
+130
-5c23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
31%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/5
L20
0%
0/5
SZN
0%
0/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Sedrick Irvin
STANvsELON
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
2.45
+145
-5c23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
29%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/6
L20
0%
0/6
SZN
0%
0/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Atticus Joseph
STANvsELON
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
3.90
+290
-10cFade23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
16%
win
-5.0pp
L5
25%
1/4
L10
25%
1/4
L20
25%
1/4
SZN
25%
1/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Zion Robinson
STANvsELON
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
5.20
+420
-10cFade23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
11%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/4
L20
0%
0/4
SZN
0%
0/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Jonanthony Hall
STANvsELON
PASS
Sat 7:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
5.20
+420
-10cFade23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
11%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/6
L20
0%
0/6
SZN
0%
0/6
H2H
-
ACC
-