Reed Harris
ASU@TTU
LEAN
Sat 3:30 PM ETReceptions 4.5
FD
1.53
-188
flat27 pulls
OVER
4.5
UNDER
4.5
66%
win
+5.0pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
4/5
L20
80%
4/5
SZN
80%
4/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
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| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| ASU | 16% | 6.45 |
| TTU | 85% | 1.18 |
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.5 | 59% | 1.69 | 41% | 2.44 |
| 47.5 | 56% | 1.77 | 44% | 2.30 |
| 48.5 | 54% | 1.87 | 47% | 2.15 |
| 49.5 | 52% | 1.94 | 49% | 2.06 |
| 50.5 | 49% | 2.06 | 52% | 1.94 |
| 51.5 | 46% | 2.20 | 54% | 1.83 |
| 52.5 | 42% | 2.41 | 59% | 1.71 |
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| TTU | 1.5 | 85% | 1.18 |
| TTU | 2.5 | 83% | 1.20 |
| TTU | 3.5 | 79% | 1.27 |
| TTU | 4.5 | 78% | 1.29 |
| ASU | 1.5 | 13% | 7.69 |
| ASU | 2.5 | 12% | 8.33 |
| ASU | 3.5 | 9% | 11.11 |
| ASU | 4.5 | 8% | 12.50 |
71% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.42: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 37.5 and under 70.5.
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