Braylon Staley
TENNvsALA
LEAN
Sat 3:30 PM ETReceptions 3.5
FD
1.58
-172
flat39 pulls
OVER
3.5
UNDER
3.5
64%
win
+5.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
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| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| ALA | 75% | 1.34 |
| TENN | 26% | 3.92 |
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.5 | 72% | 1.39 | 28% | 3.57 |
| 44.5 | 67% | 1.50 | 34% | 2.99 |
| 47.5 | 59% | 1.71 | 42% | 2.41 |
| 50.5 | 52% | 1.94 | 49% | 2.06 |
| 53.5 | 42% | 2.41 | 59% | 1.71 |
| 54.5 | 41% | 2.47 | 60% | 1.68 |
| 55.5 | 37% | 2.74 | 64% | 1.57 |
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALA | 1.5 | 72% | 1.40 |
| ALA | 2.5 | 71% | 1.42 |
| ALA | 3.5 | 65% | 1.55 |
| ALA | 4.5 | 62% | 1.63 |
| TENN | 1.5 | 25% | 4.08 |
| TENN | 2.5 | 23% | 4.44 |
| TENN | 3.5 | 20% | 5.13 |
| TENN | 4.5 | 18% | 5.71 |
77% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.29: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 35.5 and under 74.5.
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