Kenny Minchey
UK@OU
LEAN
Sat 7:30 PM ETPassing TDs 0.5
FD
1.55
-182
flat27 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
66%
win
+5.0pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
83%
5/6
L20
83%
5/6
SZN
83%
5/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
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| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| UK | 31% | 3.17 |
| OU | 69% | 1.46 |
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.5 | 60% | 1.67 | 40% | 2.50 |
| 41.5 | 56% | 1.80 | 44% | 2.25 |
| 42.5 | 54% | 1.87 | 47% | 2.15 |
| 43.5 | 51% | 1.98 | 50% | 2.02 |
| 44.5 | 48% | 2.11 | 53% | 1.90 |
| 45.5 | 44% | 2.30 | 56% | 1.77 |
| 46.5 | 42% | 2.38 | 58% | 1.72 |
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| OU | 1.5 | 66% | 1.52 |
| OU | 2.5 | 65% | 1.54 |
| OU | 3.5 | 59% | 1.71 |
| OU | 4.5 | 56% | 1.80 |
| UK | 1.5 | 30% | 3.33 |
| UK | 2.5 | 28% | 3.57 |
| UK | 3.5 | 24% | 4.17 |
| UK | 4.5 | 20% | 5.00 |
73% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.38: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 31.5 and under 64.5.
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