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CFB · 12:00 PM ET

Mississippi St @ LSU

Cards

27

Top Alpha Score

69

PRESS

0

Sharp source

Model

Prediction markets

Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 min

Moneyline

Team	Wins	Fair price
MSST	14%	7.41
LSU	87%	1.16

Total points · market line 57.5

Line	Over	Fair	Under	Fair
48.5	69%	1.45	31%	3.23
51.5	63%	1.59	37%	2.70
54.5	56%	1.80	44%	2.25
57.5	47%	2.15	54%	1.87
58.5	47%	2.15	54%	1.87
59.5	41%	2.47	60%	1.68
60.5	39%	2.60	62%	1.63

Spread: wins by more than

Team	By	Chance	Fair
LSU	1.5	86%	1.16
LSU	2.5	85%	1.18
LSU	3.5	81%	1.24
LSU	4.5	79%	1.27
MSST	1.5	13%	7.69
MSST	2.5	13%	8.00
MSST	3.5	9%	11.11
MSST	4.5	9%	11.11

Range calculator

Total lands overand underpoints

74% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.36: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 42.5 and under 78.5.

Passing TDs

Sam Leavitt

LSUvsMSST

LEAN

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Passing TDs 1.5

FD

1.60

-168

flat39 pulls

OVER

1.5

UNDER

1.5

64%

win

+5.0pp

L5

60%

3/5

L10

50%

3/6

L20

50%

3/6

SZN

50%

3/6

H2H

-

ACC

-

Receptions

Sanfrisco Magee

MSST@LSU

LEAN

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Receptions 3.5

FD

1.60

-166

flat39 pulls

OVER

3.5

UNDER

3.5

63%

win

+3.2pp

L5

60%

3/5

L10

60%

3/5

L20

60%

3/5

SZN

60%

3/5

H2H

-

ACC

-

Zion Ragins

MSST@LSU

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Receptions 2.5

FD

1.68

-146

flat39 pulls

OVER

2.5

UNDER

2.5

58%

win

+3.2pp

L5

60%

3/5

L10

60%

3/5

L20

60%

3/5

SZN

60%

3/5

H2H

-

ACC

-

Anthony Evans III

MSST@LSU

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Receptions 5.5

FD

1.98

-102

-34cFade39 pulls

OVER

5.5

UNDER

5.5

52%

win

+5.0pp

L5

100%

5/5

L10

100%

5/5

L20

100%

5/5

SZN

100%

5/5

H2H

-

ACC

-

Show 1 more Receptions

Jackson Harris

LSUvsMSST

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Receptions 3.5

FD

2.02

+102

flat39 pulls

OVER

3.5

UNDER

3.5

51%

win

+5.0pp

L5

60%

3/5

L10

50%

3/6

L20

50%

3/6

SZN

50%

3/6

H2H

-

ACC

-

Anytime TD

Dilin Jones

LSUvsMSST

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

FD

1.32

-310

flat39 pulls

YES

0.5

NO

0.5

59%

win

-5.0pp

L5

60%

3/5

L10

67%

4/6

L20

67%

4/6

SZN

67%

4/6

H2H

-

ACC

-

Sam Leavitt

LSUvsMSST

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

DK

1.43

-230

+10cSteam39 pulls

YES

0.5

NO

0.5

56%

win

-1.9pp

L5

60%

3/5

L10

67%

4/6

L20

67%

4/6

SZN

67%

4/6

H2H

-

ACC

-

Fluff Bothwell

MSST@LSU

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

DK

1.95

-105

-15cFade39 pulls

YES

0.5

NO

0.5

48%

win

+3.7pp

L5

40%

2/5

L10

40%

2/5

L20

40%

2/5

SZN

40%

2/5

H2H

-

ACC

-

Show 11 more Anytime TD

Jackson Harris

LSUvsMSST

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

FD

2.70

+170

flat39 pulls

YES

0.5

NO

0.5

38%

win

+5.0pp

L5

40%

2/5

L10

33%

2/6

L20

33%

2/6

SZN

33%

2/6

H2H

-

ACC

-

Harlem Berry

LSUvsMSST

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

DK

2.80

+180

flat39 pulls

YES

0.5

NO

0.5

26%

win

-5.0pp

L5

20%

1/5

L10

20%

1/5

L20

20%

1/5

SZN

20%

1/5

H2H

-

ACC

-

Anthony Evans III

MSST@LSU

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

FD

3.30

+230

-10cFade39 pulls

YES

0.5

NO

0.5

36%

win

+5.0pp

L5

80%

4/5

L10

80%

4/5

L20

80%

4/5

SZN

80%

4/5

H2H

-

ACC

-

Jayce Brown

LSUvsMSST

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

DK

4.10

+310

+10cSteam39 pulls

YES

0.5

NO

0.5

17%

win

-5.0pp

L5

0%

0/4

L10

0%

0/4

L20

0%

0/4

SZN

0%

0/4

H2H

-

ACC

-

Sanfrisco Magee

MSST@LSU

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

FD

5.50

+450

-20cFade39 pulls

YES

0.5

NO

0.5

24%

win

+5.0pp

L5

80%

4/5

L10

80%

4/5

L20

80%

4/5

SZN

80%

4/5

H2H

-

ACC

-

Zion Ragins

MSST@LSU

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

FD

7.00

+600

-50cFade39 pulls

YES

0.5

NO

0.5

22%

win

+5.0pp

L5

80%

4/5

L10

80%

4/5

L20

80%

4/5

SZN

80%

4/5

H2H

-

ACC

-

Marquis Johnson

MSST@LSU

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

FD

8.50

+750

-50cFade39 pulls

YES

0.5

NO

0.5

20%

win

+5.0pp

L5

40%

2/5

L10

40%

2/5

L20

40%

2/5

SZN

40%

2/5

H2H

-

ACC

-

Kamario Taylor

MSST@LSU

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

DK

2.60

+160

-10cFade39 pulls

YES

0.5

NO

0.5

29%

win

-5.0pp

L5

20%

1/5

L10

20%

1/5

L20

20%

1/5

SZN

20%

1/5

H2H

-

ACC

-

Landen Clark

LSUvsMSST

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

DK

3.20

+220

+5c39 pulls

YES

0.5

NO

0.5

31%

win

+5.0pp

L5

60%

3/5

L10

60%

3/5

L20

60%

3/5

SZN

60%

3/5

H2H

-

ACC

-

Stacy Gage

LSUvsMSST

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

DK

4.60

+360

flat39 pulls

YES

0.5

NO

0.5

26%

win

+5.0pp

L5

25%

1/4

L10

25%

1/4

L20

25%

1/4

SZN

25%

1/4

H2H

-

ACC

-

Xavier Gayten

MSST@LSU

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

DK

3.20

+220

+380cSteam39 pulls

YES

0.5

NO

0.5

25%

win

-1.1pp

L5

33%

1/3

L10

33%

1/3

L20

33%

1/3

SZN

33%

1/3

H2H

-

ACC

-

Receiving Yards

Anthony Evans III

MSST@LSU

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards 66.5

FD

1.88

-114

+6 lineSteam39 pulls

OVER

66.5

UNDER

66.5

55%

win

+5.0pp

L5

80%

4/5

L10

80%

4/5

L20

80%

4/5

SZN

80%

4/5

H2H

-

ACC

-

Jackson Harris

LSUvsMSST

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards 49.5

FD

1.88

-114

flat39 pulls

OVER

49.5

UNDER

49.5

55%

win

+5.0pp

L5

60%

3/5

L10

50%

3/6

L20

50%

3/6

SZN

50%

3/6

H2H

-

ACC

-

Sanfrisco Magee

MSST@LSU

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards 30.5

FD

1.88

-114

flat39 pulls

OVER

30.5

UNDER

30.5

55%

win

+5.0pp

L5

100%

5/5

L10

100%

5/5

L20

100%

5/5

SZN

100%

5/5

H2H

-

ACC

-

Show 2 more Receiving Yards

Jayce Brown

LSUvsMSST

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards 13.5

FD

1.88

-114

flat39 pulls

OVER

13.5

UNDER

13.5

55%

win

+5.0pp

L5

75%

3/4

L10

75%

3/4

L20

75%

3/4

SZN

75%

3/4

H2H

-

ACC

-

Zion Ragins

MSST@LSU

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards 31.5

FD

1.88

-114

flat39 pulls

OVER

31.5

UNDER

31.5

52%

win

+2.3pp

L5

60%

3/5

L10

60%

3/5

L20

60%

3/5

SZN

60%

3/5

H2H

-

ACC

-

Rushing Yards

Dilin Jones

LSUvsMSST

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Rushing Yards 87.5

FD

1.88

-114

flat39 pulls

OVER

87.5

UNDER

87.5

55%

win

+5.0pp

L5

80%

4/5

L10

67%

4/6

L20

67%

4/6

SZN

67%

4/6

H2H

-

ACC

-

Sam Leavitt

LSUvsMSST

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Rushing Yards 33.5

FD

1.88

-114

flat39 pulls

OVER

33.5

UNDER

33.5

50%

win

+0.4pp

L5

40%

2/5

L10

50%

3/6

L20

50%

3/6

SZN

50%

3/6

H2H

-

ACC

-

Passing Yards

Sam Leavitt

LSUvsMSST

PASS

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Passing Yards 247.5

FD

1.88

-114

flat39 pulls

OVER

247.5

UNDER

247.5

52%

win

+1.8pp

L5

60%

3/5

L10

50%

3/6

L20

50%

3/6

SZN

50%

3/6

H2H

-

ACC

-

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